Am I correct in thinking the order of the next few promos is Merge - Memory - Tiles

I opened (20,100 passes) 67 Tychee Crown on the test server. (Coming in the next event)

Let's talk about the divine:

First of all, I didn't get the divine - at all. Equal parts good and bad, I have no data to represent the true drop rate (though it looks terrible). I got 2100 Fragments, which means roughly 31.3 fragments per crown. I only got two divines as a whole, so taking away three crowns ( closest I can get to 100)
20,100 - 900 = 19,200
19,200 / 2 = 9600
That's 9600 passes to be guaranteed a divine. (32,640,000e)
At 150 passes per crown, this is 4,800 per divine. (16,320,000e)
These are only rounded estimates but are very close to the actual value.
This is not considering fragments earned from the event.

Items:

I only measured tack, BMI and high-value tack (whip, lunge etc. - no bridles, saddle cloths)

(1)Hera Pack, (3)Dials,(1)Pandoras Box,(3)Ray,(1)Lyre, (7 )GA, (2) Blanket, (2)Parchment,(1 )Stroke,(1)Whip,(2)P.Stones,(5) W.O.Y,(3) Spurs,(2)Lunge,(2)ZLB,(1)MA,(2)Studs,(3) Button Plaiting,(6 )A.Arrow,(4)Timer,(2)P.Pack(1)M.Blood,(1)Fortune,(1) harmony Pack (1) Nyx Pack,(5)Bonus Pack,(1)A.Heel,(2)P.O.C,(1)HWS.

Pass Value is taken as 3400 per 1 pass (The value varies but is generally considered between 3400 and 3500 per 1 pass) and was converted for the Bonus tack items.
Pass value for HWS taken at 575, the same price as the nyx pack, as it's the highest pass item it can be exchanged for.

All of this only comes to 7,460 passes.

Since I used 20,100 passes this is a loss of 12,640 passes.

Assuming you have a maximum discount, you would have used 10,050 passes. This is a loss of 2,590 passes.

Issues with this data:

It's not a big enough pool and not every item was obtained. Do not take this as an absolute drop rate, but also don't look away. Keep in mind regardless, you will likely be making a loss especially if you are opening many. The crown is 100% not worth opening until the discount has been obtained.

Not every item was measured. Ageing points, tack items and food were not included as part of this data. This means the loss is slightly less. I did measure aps for around the first 30 crowns, however... Lets say, don't count on it as an item that will stop you from having to farm .

While it doesn't change by a significant amount, the bonus tack does not have a pass value officially. The pass value was calculated using market trends from the direct sales.

Sadly, I can't bring you even a small calculation on the drop rate of the divine. This is, as I said, a small sample pool.
I hope this helps you make your decision on if the divine is worth it for you!

Evolution/Merge event!

...merge events! Also, i was just wondering as i remembered my first or one of my first events, and wondering why they have never brought it back. Does anyone remember the Bingo game, where one of the Wild horses was released? This was back in Spring of 2012 or close to that.